CO2 / PPM /Annual Averages / Data Source: noaa.gov 1980 338.91ppm 1981 340.11ppm 1982 340.86ppm 1983 342.53ppm 1984 344.07ppm 1985 345.54ppm 1986 346.97ppm 1987 348.68ppm 1988 351.16ppm 1989 352.78ppm 1990 354.05ppm 1991 355.39ppm 1992 356.1ppm 1993 356.83ppm 1994 358.33ppm 1995 360.18ppm 1996 361.93ppm 1997 363.04ppm 1998 365.7ppm 1999 367.8ppm 2000 368.97ppm 2001 370.57ppm 2002 372.59ppm 2003 375.14ppm 2004 376.96ppm 2005 378.97ppm 2006 381.13ppm 2007 382.9ppm 2008 385.01ppm 2009 386.5ppm 2010 388.76ppm 2011 390.63ppm 2012 392.65ppm 2013 395.39ppm 2014 397.34ppm 2015 399.65ppm 2016 403.09ppm 2017 405.22ppm 2018 407.62ppm 2019 410.07ppm 2020 412.44ppm 2021 414.72ppm 2022 418.56ppm 2023 421.08ppm 2024 424.61ppm 2025 427.35ppm
CO2 / PPM /Annual Averages / Data Source: noaa.gov 1980 338.91ppm 1981 340.11ppm 1982 340.86ppm 1983 342.53ppm 1984 344.07ppm 1985 345.54ppm 1986 346.97ppm 1987 348.68ppm 1988 351.16ppm 1989 352.78ppm 1990 354.05ppm 1991 355.39ppm 1992 356.1ppm 1993 356.83ppm 1994 358.33ppm 1995 360.18ppm 1996 361.93ppm 1997 363.04ppm 1998 365.7ppm 1999 367.8ppm 2000 368.97ppm 2001 370.57ppm 2002 372.59ppm 2003 375.14ppm 2004 376.96ppm 2005 378.97ppm 2006 381.13ppm 2007 382.9ppm 2008 385.01ppm 2009 386.5ppm 2010 388.76ppm 2011 390.63ppm 2012 392.65ppm 2013 395.39ppm 2014 397.34ppm 2015 399.65ppm 2016 403.09ppm 2017 405.22ppm 2018 407.62ppm 2019 410.07ppm 2020 412.44ppm 2021 414.72ppm 2022 418.56ppm 2023 421.08ppm 2024 424.61ppm 2025 427.35ppm
News & Views

Could legal challenges block the EPA’s move to roll back greenhouse gas rules?

To discredit the endangerment finding on legal grounds, the EPA must first accept emissions are a ‘major’ issue

Content Tags: Policy  Pollution  Legal  US 

The EPA's 'endangerment finding, which links greenhouse gas emissions to public health risks, often dubbed The Holy Grail of the climate change religion” was eliminated by US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Administrator Lee Zeldin last week. The repeal has faced backlash, including from investors who fear long-term regulatory turbulence.

The move will inevitably face legal scrutiny in the days ahead. The EPA’s principal defence will likely be the ‘major questions doctrine’ – a legal tenet that begins by accepting emissions are a significant issue. 


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Steep hill

The repeal had been several months in the making. In August last year, the agency convened public hearings on the issue. The vast majority of testimonies over four days implored the EPA to reconsider its move.  Testimonies came from medical professionals, scientists, lawyers, faith groups and elected representatives.

“Science has not wavered”, said a doctor from Florida. “I believe in the science that supports the 2009 endangerment Finding. I am not alone”, quipped a Virginia resident. “It's like listening to the doctor who is working for the tobacco industry who says that smoking is good for you”, a pastor warned.

“Why jettison this critical regulatory tool?”, asked Spenser Lotz, assistant attorney general for the state of New Mexico. “If EPA's attorneys are confused, they could perhaps look at the law”, he added.

The hearings made clear just how steep of a hill justifying the repeal on scientific grounds was.

“Facing a particularly hard road on the science side, it is not surprising that EPA is trying to discredit the 2009 endangerment finding on legal grounds”, writes David Hayes, a professor at Stanford Law School.

Heyes, a former climate advisor to President Biden, says the EPA seems to be putting all eggs in one basket – the claim that it lacks authority to do what the endangerment finding asks of it.

Major questions

When the EPA’s endangerment repeal comes under scrutiny, this defence will be in the spotlight.

“The major questions doctrine will probably be the principal legal argument that the Trump administration will raise in defending the inevitable lawsuits challenging its revocation of the endangerment finding”, explains Michael Gerrard, director of Columbia Law School’s Sabin Centre for Climate Change Law.

The doctrine is a critical determinant of how, when and why America’s regulatory agencies do what they do. If an issue is a ‘major question’, the doctrine says, agencies need congressional authorisation.

Put simply, for the EPA to justify its endangerment repeal on this basis it must make the case that emissions (from mobile sources) are an ‘issue of vast economic and political significance’ – a prevalent understanding of the term.

Apart from the contrarian conclusion it leads to, Hayes notes the argument defies historical precent. “Come on! EPA has effectively worked with industry to clean up tailpipe emissions of all sorts over the past 50 plus years”, he wrote in a blog for Stanford Law School.

Crucially for the EPA to have its way, America’s highest court would need to change the way it interprets a 2007 case involving the state of Massachusetts and the EPA.

It held that the Clean Air Act gives EPA the authority to regulate greenhouse gases if EPA finds that GHGs endanger public health or welfare. The Trump administration now wants the Supreme Court to reverse the decision or to interpret it very narrowly”, Gerrard told Net Zero Investor.

Congressman Paul Tonko, a democrat ranking member of the House Energy and Commerce Subcommittee on Environment was among those who testified back in August. He reminded the EPA of congressional intent in this regard.

“I understand that the current Administration and I have fundamental disagreements about the best ways by which to regulate greenhouse gas emissions, but there can be no ambiguity that as recently as August 2022 Congress reaffirmed the general principle of the 2009 endangerment finding”, he said.

The Congressman’s concern was also that this repeal was “part of a larger, dangerous ideological crusade by the Trump Administration to erase climate science”.

Soon, two scenarios seem likely. The EPA’s decision will have its day in court, and the major questions doctrine will be part of its defence. In so doing, a scene will be set, to determine just how significant of an issue GHG emissions ultimately are.


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Content Tags: Policy  Pollution  Legal  US 

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