CO2 / PPM /Annual Averages / Data Source: noaa.gov 1980 338.91ppm 1981 340.11ppm 1982 340.86ppm 1983 342.53ppm 1984 344.07ppm 1985 345.54ppm 1986 346.97ppm 1987 348.68ppm 1988 351.16ppm 1989 352.78ppm 1990 354.05ppm 1991 355.39ppm 1992 356.1ppm 1993 356.83ppm 1994 358.33ppm 1995 360.18ppm 1996 361.93ppm 1997 363.04ppm 1998 365.7ppm 1999 367.8ppm 2000 368.97ppm 2001 370.57ppm 2002 372.59ppm 2003 375.14ppm 2004 376.96ppm 2005 378.97ppm 2006 381.13ppm 2007 382.9ppm 2008 385.01ppm 2009 386.5ppm 2010 388.76ppm 2011 390.63ppm 2012 392.65ppm 2013 395.39ppm 2014 397.34ppm 2015 399.65ppm 2016 403.09ppm 2017 405.22ppm 2018 407.62ppm 2019 410.07ppm 2020 412.44ppm 2021 414.72ppm 2022 418.56ppm 2023 421.08ppm 2024 424.61ppm 2025 427.35ppm
CO2 / PPM /Annual Averages / Data Source: noaa.gov 1980 338.91ppm 1981 340.11ppm 1982 340.86ppm 1983 342.53ppm 1984 344.07ppm 1985 345.54ppm 1986 346.97ppm 1987 348.68ppm 1988 351.16ppm 1989 352.78ppm 1990 354.05ppm 1991 355.39ppm 1992 356.1ppm 1993 356.83ppm 1994 358.33ppm 1995 360.18ppm 1996 361.93ppm 1997 363.04ppm 1998 365.7ppm 1999 367.8ppm 2000 368.97ppm 2001 370.57ppm 2002 372.59ppm 2003 375.14ppm 2004 376.96ppm 2005 378.97ppm 2006 381.13ppm 2007 382.9ppm 2008 385.01ppm 2009 386.5ppm 2010 388.76ppm 2011 390.63ppm 2012 392.65ppm 2013 395.39ppm 2014 397.34ppm 2015 399.65ppm 2016 403.09ppm 2017 405.22ppm 2018 407.62ppm 2019 410.07ppm 2020 412.44ppm 2021 414.72ppm 2022 418.56ppm 2023 421.08ppm 2024 424.61ppm 2025 427.35ppm
News & Views

Ready, set, connect: Britain launches landmark grid connection reform

Rules for renewable energy grid connections have moved away from a ‘first come first serve’ approach. New rules, which prioritise viability, have implications for renewable infrastructure investment

Content Tags: Policy  Infrastructure  Regulation  Energy  Renewables  UK 

“Queuing is a very British tradition”, says Chris Stark, “but the queue to connect to Britain’s grid has held back our economy”. Stark is head of mission control for the UK’s Clean Power 2030 (CP30) – an action plan to rapidly deploy enough clean energy to meet and possibly exceed the country’s energy appetite by the end of the decade.

The viability of the plan Stark is in charge of executing, rests on Britain addressing one of its more powerful headwinds – a renewables grid queue with collective capacity of over 700GW, roughly four times the CP30 target.

In a landmark overhaul of grid connection rules, the National Energy Systems Operator (NESO) announced a prioritised project list, in effect moving Britain away from its first come, first serve model.

Zombie projects

Older grid congestion rules, the regulator contends, had created a system that relied more on quantity and less on quality. Projects that were arguably less viable were holding up those that were not. ‘Zombie’ projects as they came to be known.

“We inherited a broken system where zombie projects were allowed to hold up grid connections for viable projects that will bring investment, jobs and economic growth”, commented the UK’s energy secretary Ed Miliband.

As a result, even ‘shovel ready’ renewable energy projects have had to wait their turn, at times for years on end. RenewableUK, a trade association says the status quo needed challenging.

“Reform of the queue for grid connections has been necessary to ensure that renewable energy projects which are ready to connect are prioritised, and that zombie projects are weeded out”, says Barnaby Wharton, RenewableUK’s head of flexibility and grid.

Needs assessment

To clear the gridlock, NESO embarked on a needs assessment. 60 industry workgroups, 172 consultation responses and 1500 applications later, NESO arrived at a priority connection pipeline spread over two phases, one for 2030 and the other for 2035.

Some technologies are already at capacity thresholds; others have some way to go.

Offshore wind, for example, is already at capacity for 2035. As are batteries. Solar is slightly undersupplied for 2035 while onshore wind is undersupplied in England and Wales while capacity in Scotland is above threshold.

In the case of the latter, the next priority window offers a chance, where NESO expects to prioritise projects that are already ready to connect.

In total, NESO’s prioritised pipeline holds 283GW of generation and storage capacity, coupled with 99GW of transmission potential.

“These changes will cut grid bottlenecks by prioritising ready-to-build projects, giving certainty about when and where they can connect and unlocking billions in clean energy investment”, says Kayte O’Neill, NESO’s chief operating officer.

Silver bullet

The reform creates a system tasked with a balancing act – one that incentivises project viability whilst protecting the entrepreneurial urge to innovate. Quality, industry representatives warn, is complementary to quantity.

“While it is important that the connections queue is reformed, we also need to ensure that we do not unnecessarily stifle future clean energy project development”, warns Wharton.

Balancing act aside, the reform is unlikely to be a silver bullet on its own. Energy UK, another trade association says other reforms must follow.

“The energy industry is keen to see planning and environmental processes further streamlined to ensure projects and infrastructure are built out efficiently across the country”, notes Dhara Vyas, Energy UK’s chief executive.

For investors, NESO’s needs-based connection process implies a fundamental shift in the investment case for renewable infrastructure. Hitherto, investors strong reasons to diversify - back more projects, across more technologies.

Now, their viability metrics will take the wheel. If the grids regulator focuses more on feasibility, investors will likely follow suit.

Content Tags: Policy  Infrastructure  Regulation  Energy  Renewables  UK 

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