CO2 / PPM /Annual Averages / Data Source: noaa.gov 1980 338.91ppm 1981 340.11ppm 1982 340.86ppm 1983 342.53ppm 1984 344.07ppm 1985 345.54ppm 1986 346.97ppm 1987 348.68ppm 1988 351.16ppm 1989 352.78ppm 1990 354.05ppm 1991 355.39ppm 1992 356.1ppm 1993 356.83ppm 1994 358.33ppm 1995 360.18ppm 1996 361.93ppm 1997 363.04ppm 1998 365.7ppm 1999 367.8ppm 2000 368.97ppm 2001 370.57ppm 2002 372.59ppm 2003 375.14ppm 2004 376.96ppm 2005 378.97ppm 2006 381.13ppm 2007 382.9ppm 2008 385.01ppm 2009 386.5ppm 2010 388.76ppm 2011 390.63ppm 2012 392.65ppm 2013 395.39ppm 2014 397.34ppm 2015 399.65ppm 2016 403.09ppm 2017 405.22ppm 2018 407.62ppm 2019 410.07ppm 2020 412.44ppm 2021 414.72ppm 2022 418.56ppm 2023 421.08ppm 2024 424.61ppm 2025 427.35ppm
CO2 / PPM /Annual Averages / Data Source: noaa.gov 1980 338.91ppm 1981 340.11ppm 1982 340.86ppm 1983 342.53ppm 1984 344.07ppm 1985 345.54ppm 1986 346.97ppm 1987 348.68ppm 1988 351.16ppm 1989 352.78ppm 1990 354.05ppm 1991 355.39ppm 1992 356.1ppm 1993 356.83ppm 1994 358.33ppm 1995 360.18ppm 1996 361.93ppm 1997 363.04ppm 1998 365.7ppm 1999 367.8ppm 2000 368.97ppm 2001 370.57ppm 2002 372.59ppm 2003 375.14ppm 2004 376.96ppm 2005 378.97ppm 2006 381.13ppm 2007 382.9ppm 2008 385.01ppm 2009 386.5ppm 2010 388.76ppm 2011 390.63ppm 2012 392.65ppm 2013 395.39ppm 2014 397.34ppm 2015 399.65ppm 2016 403.09ppm 2017 405.22ppm 2018 407.62ppm 2019 410.07ppm 2020 412.44ppm 2021 414.72ppm 2022 418.56ppm 2023 421.08ppm 2024 424.61ppm 2025 427.35ppm
News & Views

Investors warn EU against linking Arctic fossil fuels to energy security

Ahead of the upcoming strategy update, investors have called for maintaining fossil fuel exploration restrictions

Europe is in the process of updating its view on Arctic oil and gas. The EU’s Arctic policy consultation – now closed – was driven by concerns over climate change and energy security. Investors, companies and researchers have submitted their input, for a new strategy expected to be adopted later this year.

Nordic institutional investors have also weighed in, warning against further oil and gas exploration.


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Investor input

Last week, investors – including the region’s pension providers – signed a letter making their position clear. The investors’ concerns have to do with the EU potentially reconsidering its opposition to oil and gas exploration in the Arctic.

“Against this backdrop, we urge the European Union to maintain and reinforce its commitment to protect the fragile ecosystems north of the Arctic Circle from new oil and gas infrastructure”, the letter reads.

Signatories to the letter include Sampension, PenSam, Lærernes Pension, Akademiker Pension, Pædagogernes Pension, KLP and Velliv among others.

Nordea Asset Management has also signed the letter. A group of Danish asset owners had challenged Nordea’s Arctic fossil fuel financing at its AGM in March.

The letter argues that oil and gas exploration would increase pressure on one of the world’s most vulnerable ecosystems – which is already experiencing warming at four times the pace of the global average.

“This is a major decision with far-reaching consequences for the Arctic, the climate and the EU's future energy system. That is why it is also crucial to create a public debate about it”, says Katrine Ehnhuus, senior advisor at Mellemfolkeligt Samvirke's Center for Sustainable Finance.

Energy security

Former German vice chancellor Robert Habeck has also signed the letter. It signals a change in tone for Habeck – who previously negotiated Germany’s energy imports including gas from Norway after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

It speaks to the wider debate surrounding energy security and Arctic oil and gas. A debate that has resurfaced during the consultation.

“We naturally acknowledge that first with the Ukraine war and now with the Iran war, there has clearly been an increased need to ensure European security of supply”, says Jacob Ehlerth Jørgensen, head of ESG at Sampension – a Danish asset owner.

“But in our view, new oil and gas extraction in the Arctic is the wrong way to go in this regard”, he adds.

Instead, the signatories note, electrification and home-grown renewables offer a more viable solution.

Investors backing the letter also cite project lead times to back up their thinking. “Project lead times average 13 years on the Norwegian continental shelf and are longer in the Barents Sea due to harsh conditions and limited infrastructure”, the letter highlights before concluding that any new projects would not reach full production before 2040.

“Long lead times mean that new fields would only become operational when Europe should already be well advanced in its transition away from fossil fuels”, Jørgensen wrote in a letter Sampension submitted to the EU in March.

The letter goes a step further, making the case that further exploration of oil and gas in the Arctic could become a security risk.

“The changing geopolitical situation has heightened the security risks in the Barents Sea, with oil and gas infrastructure being potential targets for hybrid warfare due to the proximity to Russian territory and the Northern Sea Route”, the letter warns.

Norwegian clearance

Parts of the southern Barents Sea (north of the Arctic circle) has been opened by Norway for petroleum activities. This has become another flashpoint in the consultation.

“The Commission should reflect in the revised Arctic Policy that the Norwegian part of the Arctic that is open for petroleum activities, are governed by well-established and comprehensive environmental and oceanic management plans and governance”, claimed Norwegian energy giant Equinor in its response to the consultation.

“The current operations take place in areas that are ice-free year-round”, the submission stressed.

Last week’s investor letter takes issue with this view. “The ecological value of this zone is not defined by the presence of sea ice alone, but by the ecosystems linked to it”, the letter responds.

In recent months, the debate over energy security and Arctic fossil fuels has gathered momentum. With investors and companies weighing in, the EU’s response in its Arctic policy update remains to be seen.


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