CO2 / PPM /Annual Averages / Data Source: noaa.gov 1980 338.91ppm 1981 340.11ppm 1982 340.86ppm 1983 342.53ppm 1984 344.07ppm 1985 345.54ppm 1986 346.97ppm 1987 348.68ppm 1988 351.16ppm 1989 352.78ppm 1990 354.05ppm 1991 355.39ppm 1992 356.1ppm 1993 356.83ppm 1994 358.33ppm 1995 360.18ppm 1996 361.93ppm 1997 363.04ppm 1998 365.7ppm 1999 367.8ppm 2000 368.97ppm 2001 370.57ppm 2002 372.59ppm 2003 375.14ppm 2004 376.96ppm 2005 378.97ppm 2006 381.13ppm 2007 382.9ppm 2008 385.01ppm 2009 386.5ppm 2010 388.76ppm 2011 390.63ppm 2012 392.65ppm 2013 395.39ppm 2014 397.34ppm 2015 399.65ppm 2016 403.09ppm 2017 405.22ppm 2018 407.62ppm 2019 410.07ppm 2020 412.44ppm 2021 414.72ppm 2022 418.56ppm 2023 421.08ppm 2024 424.61ppm 2025 427.35ppm
CO2 / PPM /Annual Averages / Data Source: noaa.gov 1980 338.91ppm 1981 340.11ppm 1982 340.86ppm 1983 342.53ppm 1984 344.07ppm 1985 345.54ppm 1986 346.97ppm 1987 348.68ppm 1988 351.16ppm 1989 352.78ppm 1990 354.05ppm 1991 355.39ppm 1992 356.1ppm 1993 356.83ppm 1994 358.33ppm 1995 360.18ppm 1996 361.93ppm 1997 363.04ppm 1998 365.7ppm 1999 367.8ppm 2000 368.97ppm 2001 370.57ppm 2002 372.59ppm 2003 375.14ppm 2004 376.96ppm 2005 378.97ppm 2006 381.13ppm 2007 382.9ppm 2008 385.01ppm 2009 386.5ppm 2010 388.76ppm 2011 390.63ppm 2012 392.65ppm 2013 395.39ppm 2014 397.34ppm 2015 399.65ppm 2016 403.09ppm 2017 405.22ppm 2018 407.62ppm 2019 410.07ppm 2020 412.44ppm 2021 414.72ppm 2022 418.56ppm 2023 421.08ppm 2024 424.61ppm 2025 427.35ppm
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News & Views

Akademiker Pension’s Eni divestment: when all else fails

Akademiker's decision to divest from an Italian fossil fuel giant puts the spotlight on a grey area of active ownership – escalation

Akademiker Pension, a Danish pension fund had just one upstream fossil fuel company in its portfolio – the Italian energy giant Eni. That was until 28 September when it announced a sale of its 33 million DKK ($4.6 million) stake in the company.

The fund’s divestment decision came with a stern message for active owners - “stop waiting”. The fund says it took the call based on frustration with Eni management – if Eni did not want to change its capital allocation, Akademiker Pension would change theirs.

The member-owned fund is an active asset owner. It was always the case that active ownership included the possibility of an escalation. To influence corporate behaviour, active owners depend almost entirely on the extent to which companies fear any reduction in investor confidence.

At the far end of that reduction, when all else fails, is divestment. Akademiker Pension’s decision to divest from Eni is a reminder of a reality investors have known for some time now – all else can fail.

bxs-quote-alt-left

Eni is a company that belongs on our exclusion list and not in our portfolio

bxs-quote-alt-right
Anders Schelde, chief investment officer, Akademiker Pension:

Too much to take, too much at stake.

Divestment from Eni reflects the failure of engagement. Akademiker Pension says it met with company management this spring, where it was clear that Eni was going down a road of fossil fuel expansion.

One particular development proved to be the straw that broke the camel’s back. Vaar Energi, a Norwegian company majority owned by Eni announced in February 2023 that it would expand oil exploration in the Arctic. Which is a step too far for Anders Schelde, the chief investment officer at Akademiker Pension:

“Through a subsidiary, Eni will expand exploration for oil in vulnerable Arctic areas, which just confirms to us that Eni is a company that belongs on our exclusion list and not in our portfolio”, he says.

End of an era

As far as the debate over divestment and engagement was concerned – the dust appeared to be settled. For the most part, asset owners agreed that returns from engaging with large polluters exceeded the short-term emissions cost to their portfolios. Their ability to influence corporate behaviour hinged on their seats at the boardroom table.

In a series of essays in 2021, Tariq Fancy – the former chief investment officer of BlackRock laid out the hypothesis: “Divestment, which often seems to get confused with boycotts, has no clear real world impact since 10% of the market not buying your stock is not the same as 10% of your customers not buying your product”.

Like other active owners, Akademiker Pension also bought this logic. Certain large polluters remained in the portfolio – based on the fund’s conviction that progress could be made. However, the divestment from Eni marks the end of that era.

Now, the fund says, it is time to impose costs on companies where progress is stalled.

“When we and other investors sell our holdings, it puts upward pressure on the capital costs of the fossil fuel companies. All things being equal, it will therefore be more expensive for them to raise capital to fund their capex”, says Schelde.

Akademiker Pension’s Eni divestment: when all else fails
Even though it continues oil exploration in the Arctic, Eni has also expanded renewables capacity in Italy. Currently, the company says it has installed 84 GW.

The Bazooka Theory

When former US treasury secretary Henry Poulsen tried to convince congress about the benefits of expanding treasury’s authority to takeover America’s mortgage giants, he outlined a theory: “If you’ve got a bazooka, and people know you’ve got it, you may not have to take it out”.

The act of deterrence is contingent on the credibility of the threat. Divestments, as Schelde outlined, can prove costly for companies. Particularly when they are done so publicly. Divestment then, is the bazooka of active ownership.

Divesting from the laggards and being public about failed engagement might convince companies to take investors more seriously – it is not just that asset owners have a bazooka, they also seem to have a finger on the trigger.


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